(FRANKS..)
CNN)If confirmed to be from missing flight MH370, could a small portion of plane wing be the clue investigators need to unlock one of aviation's biggest mysteries?
CNN)If confirmed to be from missing flight MH370, could a small portion of plane wing be the clue investigators need to unlock one of aviation's biggest mysteries?
On
the surface, it's what investigators have been waiting for -- the first
physical piece of evidence as to what happened to the Malaysian
Airlines flight that vanished in March 2014, carrying 239 people.
Here's what could happen next:
Identifying the wing fragment
Planes
are stamped with multiple serial numbers for exactly this purpose -- to
allow parts to be identified and matched to a specific model and
aircraft.
"If the part numbers that are
stamped on the pieces of the plane still survive, it literally could be
a phone call to Boeing or the parts indices to see if it belongs to a
777. And if it belongs to a 777, it is MH370," said Mary Schiavo, CNN
aviation analyst and former inspector general of the United States
Department of Transportation.
Schiavo
points out that there have been only five accidents involving Boeing
777s, and the disappearance of MH370 is the only one where debris hasn't
been recovered.
If the identifying
numbers are missing, more tests will need to be conducted on the part to
determine its origin. In that case, it's likely that the wing portion
will need to be transported elsewhere, potentially Paris, because it was
found within French territory.

f it's part of the plane, is it more likely the main section will be found?
Truss says no.
He
told Australian media on Thursday it is "not really going to be all
that helpful in pinpointing precisely where the aircraft is."
However,
if confirmed, the find is likely to give investigators further belief
that other pieces of the plane have been carried by currents to the same
region.
Will the search area expand?
Potentially.
If the piece is confirmed to be from MH370, searches are likely to be conducted of surrounding islands.

The search for MH370 48 photos
However,
experts are divided as to whether one or more pieces of floating debris
will give many clues as to the fate of flight MH370.
"It
really is not going to tell us too much about the final moments of the
aircraft," said Geoffrey Thomas from AirlineRatings.com. For that, the
flight data recorders -- or black boxes -- are crucial.
However,
Tom Ballantyne of Orient Aviation magazine, said the condition of the
wing could indicate if the plane met a catastrophic end. Charring, for
example, could indicate an explosion, he said.
Will debris found near Reunion cause a rethink of past theories?
Not necessarily.
Thomas
said, if anything, the location of the potential debris confirms
modeling form the University of Western Australia which showed that
material from the plane could wash up around Reunion between 12 to 24
months after the plane's disappearance.
Despite
the modeling, no one had been searching in that area, he said, because
of the vast nature of the Indian Ocean and the multitude of factors that
meant that finding anything would be matter of luck and time.
"It was a matter of waiting for something to wash up," he said.
Thomas
said, however, if confirmed the find would dispel the numerous
conspiracy theories that suggest that investigators were searching in
the wrong place, or that somehow the plane may have landed safely
undetected.
If it is from MH370, will the main search area move?
Unlikely, analysts say.
The
discovery of the potential debris off Reunion Island in the west Indian
Ocean is consistent with the route of currents in the region and the
time it would take for a piece of metal to be washed thousand of
kilometers across a vast ocean, experts said.
"It's
possible that it could have drifted that far -- certainly it is
possible, especially if air was maintained in that particular piece,"
said former pilot Les Abend.
Australian
Deputy Prime Minister Warren Truss said if the piece is proved to be
from MH370, it would indicate authorities are searching in "roughly the
right place."
The current search is
focused deep on the sea floor off the coast of Western Australia, along
an arc considered by investigators to be the most likely area the plane
went down if it turned back towards Malaysia, as indicated by data, and
stayed in the air before running out of fuel.